San José State
W-L: (14-33) PR = 89.9119Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H Oklahoma State B12 (41-17, 97.1) 0- 9 206 A Stanford ACC (38-15, 96.3) 3- 7 207 H California ACC (17-34, 91.3) 10- 2 207 A Stanford ACC (38-15, 96.3) 4-16 208 A California ACC (17-34, 91.3) 0- 1 213 H UC San Diego BW ( 9-18, 90.4) 1- 8 213 H Illinois State MV ( 5- 5, 91.8) 1- 2 214 H Illinois State MV ( 5- 5, 91.8) 5-11 214 H Utah B12 (36-19, 95.3) 6- 7 215 A Boise State MW (26-30, 92.4) 1- 5 220 H Sacramento State BSKY ( 3-12, 90.8) 0- 4 220 H Manhattan MAAC ( 0- 2, 83.4) 3- 2 221 A Manhattan MAAC ( 0- 2, 83.4) 15- 3 222 A Cal Poly BW ( 1- 4, 90.5) 4-10 222 H Jacksonville State CUSA (42-14, 94.8) 10- 2 227 A Sacramento State BSKY ( 3-12, 90.8) 2- 0 228 A Sacred Heart MAAC ( 1- 1, 92.7) 4- 8 228 A Sacramento State BSKY ( 3-12, 90.8) 1- 6 301 A UC Davis BW ( 5- 6, 91.5) 0- 4 301 A UC Davis BW ( 5- 6, 91.5) 0- 4 307 H Santa Clara WC ( 5-13, 90.3) 1- 4 307 H Santa Clara WC ( 5-13, 90.3) 3- 2 308 H Saint Mary's WC (13-10, 92.6) 5- 1 308 H Saint Mary's WC (13-10, 92.6) 6- 2 313 H UNLV MW (29-21, 91.5) 5- 2 314 H UNLV MW (29-21, 91.5) 2- 3 315 H UNLV MW (29-21, 91.5) 4- 3 320 A Grand Canyon MW (53-12, 95.7) 1- 5 321 A Grand Canyon MW (53-12, 95.7) 2-10 322 A Grand Canyon MW (53-12, 95.7) 4-10 327 H Houston B12 (20-30, 91.1) 4- 1 328 H Fresno State MW (22-23, 91.6) 5- 4 329 A Nevada MW (37-19, 95.4) 3- 9 402 H Fresno State MW (22-23, 91.6) 3- 4 403 H Fresno State MW (22-23, 91.6) 6-14 404 H Fresno State MW (22-23, 91.6) 2- 6 408 A Colorado State MW (25-27, 91.4) 2- 5 408 A Colorado State MW (25-27, 91.4) 2- 5 411 H San Diego State MW (25-23, 92.3) 1- 6 417 A Utah State MW (22-32, 89.4) 5- 6 418 A Utah State MW (22-32, 89.4) 10- 5 419 A Utah State MW (22-32, 89.4) 6- 7 424 H New Mexico MW (26-27, 92.2) 8- 2 425 A Houston B12 (20-30, 91.1) 426 A Fresno State MW (22-23, 91.6) 4- 5 430 H New Mexico MW (26-27, 92.2) 2-12 501 A Boise State MW (26-30, 92.4) 5- 7 502 A Boise State MW (26-30, 92.4) 0-11
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 H Oklahoma State 0- 9 -9 -6 - -2.55
206 A Stanford 3- 7 -4 -7 + 3.16
207 H California 10- 2 8 -1 +++ 8.68
207 A Stanford 4-16 -12 -7 -- -4.84
213 H UC San Diego 1- 8 -7 0 --- -7.25
213 H Illinois State 1- 2 -1 -1 0.12
214 H Illinois State 5-11 -6 -1 -- -4.88
214 H Utah 6- 7 -1 -5 + 3.66
215 A Boise State 1- 5 -4 -3 -0.74
220 H Sacramento State 0- 4 -4 0 - -3.84
220 H Manhattan 3- 2 1 7 --- -6.24
221 A Manhattan 15- 3 12 6 +++ 6.24
222 A Cal Poly 4-10 -6 -1 -- -4.63
222 H Jacksonville State 10- 2 8 -4 +++ 12.11
227 A Sacramento State 2- 0 2 -2 + 3.65
228 A Sacred Heart 4- 8 -4 -4 -0.49
228 A Sacramento State 1- 6 -5 -2 - -3.35
301 A UC Davis 0- 4 -4 -2 -1.72
301 A UC Davis 0- 4 -4 -2 -1.72
307 H Santa Clara 1- 4 -3 0 - -3.34
307 H Santa Clara 3- 2 1 0 0.66
308 H Saint Mary's 5- 1 4 -2 ++ 5.94
308 H Saint Mary's 6- 2 4 -2 ++ 5.94
313 H UNLV 5- 2 3 -1 + 3.85
314 H UNLV 2- 3 -1 -1 -0.15
315 H UNLV 4- 3 1 -1 1.85
320 A Grand Canyon 1- 5 -4 -7 + 2.50
321 A Grand Canyon 2-10 -8 -7 -1.50
322 A Grand Canyon 4-10 -6 -7 0.50
327 H Houston 4- 1 3 0 + 3.46
328 H Fresno State 5- 4 1 -1 1.94
329 A Nevada 3- 9 -6 -6 0.28
402 H Fresno State 3- 4 -1 -1 -0.06
403 H Fresno State 6-14 -8 -1 --- -7.06
404 H Fresno State 2- 6 -4 -1 - -3.06
408 A Colorado State 2- 5 -3 -2 -0.74
408 A Colorado State 2- 5 -3 -2 -0.74
411 H San Diego State 1- 6 -5 -2 - -3.40
417 A Utah State 5- 6 -1 0 -0.77
418 A Utah State 10- 5 5 0 ++ 5.23
419 A Utah State 6- 7 -1 0 -0.77
424 H New Mexico 8- 2 6 -2 +++ 7.54
426 A Fresno State 4- 5 -1 -2 1.43
430 H New Mexico 2-12 -10 -2 --- -8.46
501 A Boise State 5- 7 -2 -3 1.26
502 A Boise State 0-11 -11 -3 --- -7.74
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 H UC San Diego 1- 8 -7 0 --- -7.25 220 H Manhattan 3- 2 1 7 --- -6.24 403 H Fresno State 6-14 -8 -1 --- -7.06 430 H New Mexico 2-12 -10 -2 --- -8.46 502 A Boise State 0-11 -11 -3 --- -7.74 207 A Stanford 4-16 -12 -7 -- -4.84 214 H Illinois State 5-11 -6 -1 -- -4.88 222 A Cal Poly 4-10 -6 -1 -- -4.63 206 H Oklahoma State 0- 9 -9 -6 - -2.55 220 H Sacramento State 0- 4 -4 0 - -3.84 228 A Sacramento State 1- 6 -5 -2 - -3.35 307 H Santa Clara 1- 4 -3 0 - -3.34 404 H Fresno State 2- 6 -4 -1 - -3.06 411 H San Diego State 1- 6 -5 -2 - -3.40 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 H California 10- 2 8 -1 +++ 8.68 221 A Manhattan 15- 3 12 6 +++ 6.24 222 H Jacksonville State 10- 2 8 -4 +++ 12.11 424 H New Mexico 8- 2 6 -2 +++ 7.54 308 H Saint Mary's 5- 1 4 -2 ++ 5.94 308 H Saint Mary's 6- 2 4 -2 ++ 5.94 418 A Utah State 10- 5 5 0 ++ 5.23 206 A Stanford 3- 7 -4 -7 + 3.16 214 H Utah 6- 7 -1 -5 + 3.66 227 A Sacramento State 2- 0 2 -2 + 3.65 313 H UNLV 5- 2 3 -1 + 3.85 320 A Grand Canyon 1- 5 -4 -7 + 2.50 327 H Houston 4- 1 3 0 + 3.46 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Oklahoma State (41-17, 97.1) 0- 9 -2.79 16.58 -0.74 0.54 -0.95
3 A Stanford (38-15, 96.3) 3- 7 -3.57 15.80 0.74 0.54 -0.76
3 H California (17-34, 91.3) 10- 2 -8.57 10.80 -0.74 0.54 10.79
3 A Stanford (38-15, 96.3) 4-16 -3.57 15.80 0.74 0.54 -0.76
3 A California (17-34, 91.3) 0- 1 -8.57 10.80 0.74 0.54 -2.10
3 H UC San Diego ( 9-18, 90.4) 1- 8 -9.49 9.88 -0.74 0.54 -2.74
3 H Illinois State ( 5- 5, 91.8) 1- 2 -8.12 11.25 -0.74 0.54 -2.38
3 H Illinois State ( 5- 5, 91.8) 5-11 -8.12 11.25 -0.74 0.54 -2.38
3 H Utah (36-19, 95.3) 6- 7 -4.58 14.79 -0.74 0.54 -1.43
3 A Boise State (26-30, 92.4) 1- 5 -7.47 11.90 0.74 0.54 -1.80
3 H Sacramento Sta ( 3-12, 90.8) 0- 4 -9.08 10.29 -0.74 0.54 -2.63
3 H Manhattan ( 0- 2, 83.4) 3- 2 -16.49 2.88 -0.74 0.54 2.29
3 A Manhattan ( 0- 2, 83.4) 15- 3 -16.49 2.88 0.74 0.54 3.89
3 A Cal Poly ( 1- 4, 90.5) 4-10 -9.36 10.01 0.74 0.54 -2.31
3 H Jacksonville S (42-14, 94.8) 10- 2 -5.13 14.24 -0.74 0.54 14.47
3 A Sacramento Sta ( 3-12, 90.8) 2- 0 -9.08 10.29 0.74 0.54 11.83
3 A Sacred Heart ( 1- 1, 92.7) 4- 8 -7.22 12.15 0.74 0.54 -1.74
3 A Sacramento Sta ( 3-12, 90.8) 1- 6 -9.08 10.29 0.74 0.54 -2.24
3 A UC Davis ( 5- 6, 91.5) 0- 4 -8.45 10.92 0.74 0.54 -2.07
3 A UC Davis ( 5- 6, 91.5) 0- 4 -8.45 10.92 0.74 0.54 -2.07
3 H Santa Clara ( 5-13, 90.3) 1- 4 -9.59 9.78 -0.74 0.54 -2.77
3 H Santa Clara ( 5-13, 90.3) 3- 2 -9.59 9.78 -0.74 0.54 9.69
3 H Saint Mary's (13-10, 92.6) 5- 1 -7.30 12.07 -0.74 0.54 12.15
3 H Saint Mary's (13-10, 92.6) 6- 2 -7.30 12.07 -0.74 0.54 12.15
3 H UNLV (29-21, 91.5) 5- 2 -8.39 10.98 -0.74 0.54 10.98
3 H UNLV (29-21, 91.5) 2- 3 -8.39 10.98 -0.74 0.54 -2.45
3 H UNLV (29-21, 91.5) 4- 3 -8.39 10.98 -0.74 0.54 10.98
3 A Grand Canyon (53-12, 95.7) 1- 5 -4.23 15.14 0.74 0.54 -0.93
3 A Grand Canyon (53-12, 95.7) 2-10 -4.23 15.14 0.74 0.54 -0.93
3 A Grand Canyon (53-12, 95.7) 4-10 -4.23 15.14 0.74 0.54 -0.93
3 H Houston (20-30, 91.1) 4- 1 -8.79 10.58 -0.74 0.54 10.55
3 H Fresno State (22-23, 91.6) 5- 4 -8.30 11.07 -0.74 0.54 11.07
3 A Nevada (37-19, 95.4) 3- 9 -4.45 14.92 0.74 0.54 -1.00
3 H Fresno State (22-23, 91.6) 3- 4 -8.30 11.07 -0.74 0.54 -2.43
3 H Fresno State (22-23, 91.6) 6-14 -8.30 11.07 -0.74 0.54 -2.43
3 H Fresno State (22-23, 91.6) 2- 6 -8.30 11.07 -0.74 0.54 -2.43
3 A Colorado State (25-27, 91.4) 2- 5 -8.47 10.90 0.74 0.54 -2.07
3 A Colorado State (25-27, 91.4) 2- 5 -8.47 10.90 0.74 0.54 -2.07
3 H San Diego Stat (25-23, 92.3) 1- 6 -7.65 11.72 -0.74 0.54 -2.25
3 A Utah State (22-32, 89.4) 5- 6 -10.50 8.87 0.74 0.54 -2.62
3 A Utah State (22-32, 89.4) 10- 5 -10.50 8.87 0.74 0.54 10.31
3 A Utah State (22-32, 89.4) 6- 7 -10.50 8.87 0.74 0.54 -2.62
3 H New Mexico (26-27, 92.2) 8- 2 -7.70 11.67 -0.74 0.54 11.72
3 A Fresno State (22-23, 91.6) 4- 5 -8.30 11.07 0.74 0.54 -2.03
3 H New Mexico (26-27, 92.2) 2-12 -7.70 11.67 -0.74 0.54 -2.26
3 A Boise State (26-30, 92.4) 5- 7 -7.47 11.90 0.74 0.54 -1.80
3 A Boise State (26-30, 92.4) 0-11 -7.47 11.90 0.74 0.54 -1.80
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78.70
|
winning pts = 142.8678 losing points = -64.1656
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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